Mathematics 383, Actuarial Models II, Fall 2011

Illinois State University Mathematics Department


Instructors
Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA
Property Casualty Actuary
COUNTRY Financial
1701 Towanda Avenue, P.O. Box 2100
Bloomington, IL 61702-2100
Telephone: 309-821-4618, Fax: 309-820-3030.
E-mail: aaron.hillebrandt@countryfinancial.com
and
Dr. Krzysztof Ostaszewski, FSA, FSAS, CERA, CFA, MAAA
Actuarial Program Director
Office: Stevenson Hall room 313G
Telephone: 309-438-7226, Fax: 309-438-5866.
E-mail: krzysio@ilstu.edu


Classes Meet
Tuesdays and Thursdays 4:00-5:50 p.m. (with a ten minute break), in Stevenson Hall, room 120.
Office Hours
Office hours will be held Tuesdays and Thursdays 3:00-3:50 p.m., in Stevenson Hall room 313G, by Dr. Krzysztof Ostaszewski. Please ask for an appointment at other times.

Textbooks

Notes for all topics with practice exercises will be posted as links next to dates of classes, see below, in the schedule of classes.

• Derivatives Markets, Second Edition, by McDonald, R.L., Addison-Wesley, Pearson Education, 2006.
The following (downloadable as PDFs) study notes from the Society of Actuaries are also useful:

• Multi-State Transition Models with Actuarial Applications by J. Daniel. This is a reference on Markov Processes.

Poisson Processes (and mixture distributions), by J. Daniel. This is a reference on Poisson Processes.

• Exam MFE/3F syllabus for November 2011.

• Exam MFE/3F Tables.
Some Remarks on "Derivatives Markets", by Elias Shiu.
"Derivatives Markets," Errata, by R. McDonald.
• Exam MF/3FE Sample Questions and Solutions.
• 
May 2009 SOA Exam MFE/3F
and Solutions.
May 2007 SOA Exam MFE/3F and Solutions.

Objective
The objective of this class is to help you learn about Poisson and Markov stochastic processes and mathematical models utilized in financial economics.These actuarial models form a key part of modern actuarial science. We will cover the entire contents of the Course MFE/3F professional actuarial examination, and the portion on Poisson and Markov processes from the Course MLC professional actuarial examination. For students interested in taking those examinations:

• Registration form for the Fall 2011 Course MLC and Course MFE professional actuarial examinations.


Grading
There will be a total of five tests. Any of the comprehensive tests (as indicated in the schedule) can count as a final. Because there will be so many opportunities for testing and only the best four test scores will affect the class grade, no make-up tests will be offered. The final will count as 40% of your grade, and the best two of the remaining tests will count as 30% of your grade each. You will also receive up to 10% extra credit for the best of the remaining tests. The grading scale for undergraduate students will be as follows: 90% or better -- A, 80% to 90% -- B, 70% to 80% -- C, 60% to 70% -- D, below 60% -- F. The grading scale for graduate students will be the same, but their score in the class will be multiplied by the factor of 0.9, to account for increased expectations of them, as they receive graduate credit for the class.

Important dates
Illinois State University withdrawal information for the Fall 2011 semester is given at this web site: http://www.registrar.ilstu.edu/registration/withdrawal/fall.shtml.


Disability concerns
Illinois State University provides a welcoming atmosphere for individuals with disabilities by assisting each in functioning independently within the University community and providing equal access and opportunity in accomplishing educational, professional and personal goals. Disability Concerns, a unit of the Student Affairs Division,  is the designated office to provide approved accommodation services for students, faculty, staff, and guests with disabilities. Disability Concerns obtains and maintains documentation of disability, certifies eligibility for services, determines reasonable accommodations, and develops plans for providing such accommodations. This is accomplished in a confidential manner to ensure equal opportunity for participation in all courses, programs, activities and employment offered by Illinois State. Please contact the Disability Concerns in Fell Hall room 350, tel.  309-438-5853 (Voice), 309-438-8620 (TTY) if you have needs that can be accommodate by that office.

Senior Portfolio
Mathematics Majors (any sequence): You are strongly encouraged to save all graded work from this class for your senior portfolio.

Schedule of classes
  • Tuesday, August 23, 2011. Parity and Other Option Relationships (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 9). Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Thursday, August 25, 2011. Parity and Other Option Relationships (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 9). Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Tuesday, August 30, 2011. Parity and Other Option Relationships (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 9). Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Thursday, September 1, 2011. Binomial Option Pricing I (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 10).
  • Tuesday, September 6, 2011. Binomial Option Pricing I (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 10).
  • Thursday, September 8, 2011. Binomial Option Pricing II (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 11).
  • Tuesday, September 13, 2011. Binomial Option Pricing II (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 11).
  • Thursday, September 15, 2011. The Black Scholes Formula (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 12).
  • Tuesday, September 20, 2011. The Black Scholes Formula (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 12)..
  • Thursday, September 22, 2011. Test No. 1, on the material covered through September 20, 2011.
  • Tuesday, September 27, 2011. Market-Making and Delta-Hedging (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 13).
  • Thursday, September 29, 2011. Market-Making and Delta-Hedging (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 13).
  • Tuesday, October 4, 2011.  Exotic Options (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 14). Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Thursday, October 6, 2011.  Exotic Options (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 14). Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Tuesday, October 11, 2011. The Lognormal distribution (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 18). Monte Carlo Valuation (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 19).
  • Thursday, October 13, 2011. Test No. 2, on the material covered through October 11, 2011.
  • Tuesday, October 18, 2011. Brownian Motion and Ito's Lemma (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 20). Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Thursday, October 20, 2011. Brownian Motion and Ito's Lemma (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 20). Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Tuesday, October 25, 2011. The Black-Scholes Equation (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 21).
  • Thursday, October 27, 2011. The Black-Scholes Equation (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 21).
  • Tuesday, November 1. 2011. Exotic Options II (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 22). Volatility (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 23).
  • Thursday, November 3. 2011. Interest Rate Models (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 24).
  • Tuesday, November 8, 2011. Interest Rate Models (Derivatives Markets, Chapter 24).
  • Thursday, November 10, 2011. Poisson Processes. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Tuesday, November 15, 2011. Poisson Processes. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Thursday, November 17, 2011. Markov Processes. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Tuesday, November 29, 2011. Markov Processes. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt.
  • Thursday, December 1, 2011. Review. Some additional Course MFE/3F exercises.
  • Tuesday, December 6, 2011. Test No. 3, comprehensive.
  • Thursday, December 8, 2011. Test No. 4, comprehensive.
  • Thursday, December 15, 2011, 3:10-5:10 p.m., in STV 120 (regular room). Test No. 5, comprehensive.