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Department of Mathematics

Maochao Xu

Professor
Office
STV Stevenson Hall 304
Office Phone
(309) 438-7674office
phone
Email
mxu2@ilstu.eduemail
Website
https://cybermx.github.io/website
  • About
  • Education
  • Awards & Honors
  • Selected Research

Current Courses

MAT 355.001 Generalized Linear Models And Predictive Modeling

MAT 460.001 Generalized Linear Models And Predictive Modeling

MAT 490.001 Research In Mathematics, Math Ed & Applied Mathematics

MAT 411.001 Selected Topics In Advanced Mathematics

Research Interests & Areas

Statistical modeling; Cyber risk analysis; Cybersecurity insurance

Ph D Statistics

Portland State University
Oregon

University Research Initiative Award

Illinois State University
2013

Grants and Contracts

Advancing Predictive Models with SDOH Integration in Healthcare
Maochao Xu, Mehdi Karimi, Xiaotian Dai.
Connected Communities Initiative (OSF HealthCare and ISU). July 2024 - June 2025
TMV based captial alloctions for multivariate risks
Maochao Xu.
Actuarial Foundation. July 01 2014 - June 30 2015
A Statistical Framework for Analyzing Cyber Threats
Maochao Xu.
ARO. 2013 - 2016

Conference Proceeding

A Characterization of Cybersecurity Posture from Network Telescope Data
Zhenxin Zhan, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu.
SPRINGER INT PUBLISHING AG, 9473, 105-126, (2015), 10.1007/978-3-319-27998-5_7

Journal Article

Modeling Multivariate Cyber Risks: Deep Learning Dating Extreme Value Theory
Mingyue Zhang Wu, Jinzhu Luo, Xing Fang, Maochao Xu, Peng Zhao.
Journal of Applied Statistics, (2021), https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2021.1936468
Statistical modeling of computer malware propagation dynamics in cyberspace
Zijian Fang, Peng Zhao, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu, TaiZhong Hu, Xing Fang.
(2020), 10.1080/02664763.2020.1845621
A deep learning framework for predicting cyber attacks rates
Xing Fang, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu, Peng Zhao.
EURASIP Journal on Information Security/Springer, 2019 (1), 5, (2019), https://doi.org/10.1186/s13635-019-0090-6
An efficient algorithm for computing the signatures of systems with exchangeable components and applications
Gaofeng Da, Maochao Xu, Ping Shing Chan.
IISE TRANSACTIONS, 50 (7), 584-595, (2018), 10.1080/24725854.2018.1429694
Defending a cyber system with early warning mechanism
Die Chen, Maochao Xu, Weidong Shi.
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 169, 224-234, (2018), 10.1016/j.ress.2017.08.021
Modeling and Predicting Cyber Hacking Breaches
Maochao Xu, Kristin M. Schweitzer, Raymond M. Bateman, Shouhuai Xu.
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INFORMATION FORENSICS AND SECURITY, 13 (11), 2856-2871, (2018), 10.1109/TIFS.2018.2834227
Modeling multivariate cybersecurity risks
Chen Peng, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu, Taizhong Hu.
Journal of Applied Statistics, 1-23, (2018), 10.1080/02664763.2018.1436701
On the signature of complex system: A decomposed approach
Gaofeng Da, Ping Shing Chan, Maochao Xu.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 265 (3), 1115-1123, (2018), 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.08.052
A Vine Copula Model for Predicting the Effectiveness of Cyber Defense Early-Warning
Maochao Xu, Lei Hua, Shouhuai Xu.
TECHNOMETRICS, 59 (4), 508-520, (2017), 10.1080/00401706.2016.1256841
Modeling and predicting extreme cyber attack rates via marked point processes
Chen Peng, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu, Taizhong Hu.
JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS, 44 (14), 2534-2563, (2017), 10.1080/02664763.2016.1257590
Multiple cyber attacks against a target with observation errors and dependent outcomes: Characterization and optimization
Xiaoxiao Hu, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu, Peng Zhao.
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 159, 119-133, (2017), 10.1016/j.ress.2016.10.025
Discrete Truncated Power-Law Distributions
Hong Zhu, Yingchao Xie, Maochao Xu.
AUSTRALIAN & NEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF STATISTICS, 58 (2), 197-209, (2016), 10.1111/anzs.12162
ON THE QUASI-STATIONARY DISTRIBUTION OF SIS MODELS
Gaofeng Da, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu.
PROBABILITY IN THE ENGINEERING AND INFORMATIONAL SCIENCES, 30 (4), 622-639, (2016), 10.1017/S0269964816000188
CYBER EPIDEMIC MODELS WITH DEPENDENCES
Maochao Xu, Gaofeng Da, Shouhuai Xu.
INTERNET MATHEMATICS, 11 (1), 62-92, (2015), 10.1080/15427951.2014.902407
Predicting Cyber Attack Rates With Extreme Values
Zhenxin Zhan, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu.
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INFORMATION FORENSICS AND SECURITY, 10 (8), 1666-1677, (2015), 10.1109/TIFS.2015.2422261
On the Lorenz ordering of order statistics from exponential populations and some applications
Gaofeng Da, Maochao Xu, N. Balakrishnan.
JOURNAL OF MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS, 127, 88-97, (2014), 10.1016/j.jmva.2014.02.005
On the skewness of order statistics with applications
Subhash Kochar, Maochao Xu.
ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 212 (1), 127-138, (2014), 10.1007/s10479-012-1212-4
Anti-diabetic activity of Vaccinium bracteatum Thunb. leaves' polysaccharide in STZ-induced diabetic mice
Li Wang, Ying Zhang, Maochao Xu, Yingyao Wang, Sujiao Cheng, Alex Liebrecht, Haifeng Qian, Hui Zhang, Xiguang Qi.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL MACROMOLECULES, 61, 317-321, (2013), 10.1016/j.ijbiomac.2013.07.028
Characterizing Honeypot-Captured Cyber Attacks: Statistical Framework and Case Study
Zhenxin Zhan, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu.
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INFORMATION FORENSICS AND SECURITY, 8 (11), 1775-1789, (2013), 10.1109/TIFS.2013.2279800
Characterizing Honeypot-Captured Cyber Attacks: Statistical Framework and Case Study
J Zhang, Maochao Xu, S Xu.
IEEE Transactions on Information Forensics & Security, 8, 1775-1789, (2013)
Optimal Capital Allocation based on the Tail Mean-Variance Model
Maochao Xu, T Mao.
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 53, 533-543, (2013)
Optimal capital allocation based on the Tail Mean-Variance model
Maochao Xu, Tiantian Mao.
INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS, 53 (3), 533-543, (2013), 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.08.005
Some inequalities of linear combinations of independent random variables-II
X Pan, Maochao Xu, T Hu.
Bernoulli, 19, 1176-1789, (2013)
Some inequalities of linear combinations of independent random variables: II
Xiaoqing Pan, Maochao Xu, Taizhong Hu.
BERNOULLI, 19 (5A), 1776-1789, (2013), 10.3150/12-BEJ429
An Extended Stochastic Model for Quantitative Security Analysis of Networked Systems
Maochao Xu, S Xu.
Internet Mathematics, 8, 288-320, (2012)

Presentations

Cyber attacks
Maochao Xu.
Northern Illinois University, September, 2013
Optimal Capital allocation
Maochao Xu.
University of Waterloo, August, 2013